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[OnyxSnakesteffaniet]

Hi Christo,I am curious where you did get the numbers from, especially the following:What is the chance for someone to get ALS starting with only fasics : less than 10%I have looked everywhere but could not find reliable numbers. I know that about 10% of ALS victims did notice twitching as a first symptom. But from there you can't calculate the probability of getting ALS if you twitch. The probability of getting ALS in case of twitching isP(ALS if you are twitching) = P(ALS and twitching)/P(twitching) = (P(ALS and twitching)/P(ALS))*(P(ALS)/P(twitching)) = 0.1 * P(ALS)/P(twitching)What I do not find is P(twitching) - at least not for bodywide twitching that definitely is not normal.Kind RegardsSteffen

 

[ftheatre]

Hi Stefen,I think we should not hijack this thread, because it's andman's story. I will send you all details in PM.